نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
The closest phenomenon for human beings is the space in which they live interacting with it at various moments throughout their lives. Therefore, many psychological and social attributes of a person are manifested in their residence. Housing can be considered one of the main pillars of economic and social development. Lack of housing has affected many aspects of human life. The approach of this research is applied-developmental, and the method is descriptive-analytical. Given that the research focuses on housing planning, the research is structured into three key steps. The first step involved using library research methods and a literature review to achieve a general understanding of the subject. The second step analyzed the current state of housing and population in Urmia, intending to improve housing quality and urban livability. This analysis used GIS software to identify hot and cold spots, while Spectrum software was employed to project demographic factors and population growth through 2040. The population projections were based on three fertility scenarios: decreasing, increasing, and stable. The increasing scenario anticipates a 27% rise in population, from 746,860 in 2015 to 963,540 by 2040, along with an aging demographic. This scenario highlights the need for diverse housing options to accommodate both expanding family units and suitable living arrangements for the elderly. In contrast, the decreasing scenario indicates a decline in the younger population but a notable rise in individuals aged 50-59 by 2040, which suggests the necessity to convert family housing and educational facilities into Age-friendly units. Meanwhile, the stable scenario forecasts predictable housing needs across various age groups, emphasizing the importance of sustainable urban development that responds to evolving household compositions.
کلیدواژهها English