Economic Geography Research

Economic Geography Research

Navigating Uncertainty: Developing Optimal Scenarios for Iran's Territorial Business

Document Type : Research Article

Authors
1 Associate Professor, Department of Human Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
2 Ph.D Student, Department of Human Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Business is one of the most important elements of economic growth and development in any country, acting as the driving force behind the economy and playing a key role in various social and economic dimensions. The significance of this issue and its connection to the fundamental pillars of spatial planning- human, space, and activity- and their susceptibility to various social, economic, political, managerial, and planning conditions have motivated this research. The goal is to examine the factors influencing this structure and develop accessible scenarios to achieve the best possible future for territorial business in Iran. The research findings revealed that government intervention in economic affairs, the nature of the political system, a centralized state economy, business globalization, and the quality of executive agencies are the most influential factors on the current and future state of territorial business in Iran. Additionally, the results indicated that managerial-planning, economic, and political factors exert the most significant impact on the current and future status of territorial business in Iran, while social and structural factors are influenced by these conditions. Based on the scenario analysis, four robust scenarios were extracted. Among these, the first scenario is considered ideal. By implementing this scenario, territorial business would flourish through coordination and integration among various political, managerial, and economic factors, leading to the highest levels of economic, social, and managerial development. Overall, this scenario would foster the highest level of economic prosperity in the country.
Keywords

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Volume 6, Issue 20
Summer 1404
Summer 2025
Pages 1-23

  • Receive Date 22 August 2024
  • Revise Date 09 November 2024
  • Accept Date 13 February 2025